So Florida
W-L: (20-12) PR = 95.4324Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 81-56 1107 A LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 79-72 1113 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 72-80 1115 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 61-94 1120 A Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 85-72 1124 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 45-57 1126 A Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 56-54 1130 A New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) 90-58 1202 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 51-85 1205 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 91-58 1215 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 58-87 1218 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 44-** 1221 A Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 86-74 1230 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 68-70 103 A No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 77-61 106 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 70-65 110 A Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 90-81 113 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 70-53 117 A Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 75-53 120 H Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 83-86 124 H Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 63-64 127 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 66-60 204 H Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 62-64 207 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 85-53 211 A Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 72-60 214 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 69-63 217 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 72-79 221 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 75-55 228 A No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 66-63 303 A Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 82-36 307 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 58-49 312 H Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 51-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Florida Int 81-56 25 1 0.92
1107 A LIU 79-72 7 3 0.00
1113 H Fairfield 72-80 -8 0 -1.65
1115 H UCLA 61-94 -33 -4 0.00
1120 A Duke 85-72 13 -2 ++ 4.00
1124 H Minnesota 45-57 -12 -2 -0.18
1126 A Harvard 56-54 2 0 1.74
1130 A New Orleans 90-58 32 4 0.00
1202 H Connecticut 51-85 -34 -4 0.00
1205 A Houston Chr 91-58 33 4 0.00
1215 H Vanderbilt 58-87 -29 -3 0.00
1218 H So Carolina 44-** -59 -4 0.00
1221 A Navy 86-74 12 1 0.66
1230 H Rice 68-70 -2 -1 -1.40
103 A No Texas 77-61 16 1 1.23
106 A UAB 70-65 5 2 0.07
110 A Memphis 90-81 9 2 0.00
113 A Texas-SA 70-53 17 1 1.14
117 A Wichita St 75-53 22 2 0.00
120 H Temple 83-86 -3 1 - -3.05
124 H Florida Atl 63-64 -1 2 - -2.62
127 A Charlotte 66-60 6 1 0.90
204 H Ea Carolina 62-64 -2 1 - -2.77
207 A Tulane 85-53 32 2 0.12
211 A Tulsa 72-60 12 1 1.14
214 A Texas-SA 69-63 6 1 1.14
217 H Rice 72-79 -7 -1 -1.40
221 A Florida Atl 75-55 20 2 0.40
228 A No Texas 66-63 3 1 1.23
303 A Temple 82-36 46 1 0.97
307 A Tulane 58-49 9 2 0.12
312 H Texas-SA 51-62 -11 1 - -2.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 120 H Temple 83-86 -3 1 - -3.05 124 H Florida Atl 63-64 -1 2 - -2.62 204 H Ea Carolina 62-64 -2 1 - -2.77 312 H Texas-SA 51-62 -11 1 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 A Duke 85-72 13 -2 ++ 4.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 81-56 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.95 10.26
3 A LIU (14-10, 92.3) 79-72 -7.60 3.36 0.01 0.95 6.38
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 72-80 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.95 -1.95
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 61-94 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 A Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 85-72 -2.30 8.66 0.01 0.95 16.44
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 45-57 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 0.95 -1.26
3 A Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 56-54 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.95 11.83
3 A New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) 90-58 -8.97 1.99 0.01 0.95 3.79
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 51-85 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.95 -0.27
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 91-58 -8.17 2.79 0.01 0.95 5.31
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 58-87 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.95 -0.88
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 44-** -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.95 -0.36
3 A Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 86-74 -5.82 5.14 0.01 0.95 9.77
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 68-70 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.95 -1.83
3 A No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 77-61 -5.25 5.71 0.01 0.95 10.85
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 70-65 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.95 8.65
3 A Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 90-81 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.26
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 70-53 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 A Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 75-53 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.95 7.65
3 H Temple (15-17, 94.4) 83-86 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.95 -2.61
3 H Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 63-64 -6.08 4.89 -0.01 0.95 -2.89
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 66-60 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.95 10.23
3 H Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 62-64 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 0.95 -2.48
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 85-53 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.95 8.74
3 A Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 72-60 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 69-63 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 72-79 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.95 -1.83
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 75-55 -6.08 4.89 0.01 0.95 9.29
3 A No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 66-63 -5.25 5.71 0.01 0.95 10.85
3 A Temple (15-17, 94.4) 82-36 -5.50 5.46 0.01 0.95 10.37
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 58-49 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.95 8.74
3 H Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 51-62 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 0.95 -2.54
------
170.55
|
winning pts = 189.4574 losing points = -18.9047
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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